Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.718931 1.864539 2.019038 2.195566 2.392155 2.604893 2.853236
2025-12-21 1.453638 1.645236 1.859871 2.119519 2.426958 2.781660 3.225167
2025-12-28 1.319969 1.541496 1.799897 2.126371 2.531824 3.024093 3.675172
2026-01-04 1.229603 1.472602 1.765493 2.149041 2.644828 3.273622 4.147143
2026-01-11 1.160053 1.419288 1.740612 2.174643 2.755767 3.522089 4.635375
2026-01-18 1.100879 1.372156 1.716745 2.195171 2.856297 3.759663 5.127700
2026-01-25 1.044028 1.322566 1.684059 2.198335 2.929434 3.961227 5.584920
2026-02-01 0.976687 1.253942 1.620242 2.152104 2.926561 4.050231 5.878529
2026-02-08 0.922530 1.199240 1.570951 2.121133 2.940720 4.161883 6.214368
2026-02-15 0.879976 1.157580 1.536479 2.107789 2.977932 4.308757 6.619131
2026-02-22 0.859201 1.144643 1.540936 2.150539 3.101688 4.598855 7.293591
2026-03-01 0.823579 1.108554 1.509753 2.137150 3.135902 4.746431 7.735706
2026-03-08 0.786776 1.069562 1.473066 2.114239 3.155154 4.874200 8.164509
2026-03-15 0.739426 1.013057 1.407659 2.042694 3.089939 4.853007 8.313182
2026-03-22 0.716446 0.991203 1.392746 2.049397 3.154125 5.060437 8.925484
2026-03-29 0.698957 0.976534 1.387678 2.071056 3.244449 5.321483 9.678473
2026-04-05 0.683338 0.963814 1.384703 2.095488 3.340720 5.601498 10.509578
2026-04-12 0.667603 0.950088 1.379253 2.115072 3.429277 5.874609 11.365489
2026-04-19 0.649161 0.931295 1.364715 2.118091 3.487540 6.093935 12.133512
2026-04-26 0.621698 0.897287 1.324198 2.073985 3.455255 6.130053 12.480948
2026-05-03 0.598987 0.869868 1.293105 2.044431 3.447885 6.215270 12.957173
2026-05-10 0.581030 0.849301 1.272275 2.031696 3.471423 6.366048 13.617562
2026-05-17 0.574631 0.846936 1.281262 2.072491 3.601460 6.754315 14.949052